BRENT OIL
March 25, 2026
Risk Disclaimer: The example below is for illustrative purposes only and is based on price movements derived from Contracts for Difference (CFDs). The calculations reflect hypothetical outcomes using historical or specified price data for the relevant instrument on the stated date and are not indicative of future performance. Any reliance placed on this material is strictly at the user’s own risk.
BRENT OIL Weekly Special Report based on 1 Lot Calculation:
BRENT OIL
- GLOBAL BENCHMARK: Brent crude is a main global oil benchmark, produced in the North Sea near the U.K. It is a seaborne oil benchmark and reflects global supply-demand dynamics. In contrast, WTI (West Texas Intermediate) (American Oil), produced in the United States, is landlocked and primarily reflects U.S. market conditions.
- BRENT OIL MORE VALUABLE THAN WTI (AMERICAN) OIL. Brent often trades at a premium due to its superior global accessibility and exposure to international market risks.
- SPREAD (PRICE DIFFERENCE) BETWEEN BRENT AND WTI (AMERICAN) OIL GETS WIDER WITH THE MIDDLE EAST WAR UNDERWAY. Brent is a seaborne global benchmark, with pricing closely tied to oil flows from key export regions such as the Middle East. Any disruption, whether to production, pipelines, or critical shipping routes like the Strait of Hormuz, directly affects global supply, could influence Brent prices.
GEOPOLITICS: MIDDLE EAST WAR
- EVENT (DEADLINE: FRIDAY, MARCH 27): U.S. PRESIDENT TRUMP SET A NEW ULTIMATUM TO IRAN. U.S. President Donald Trump has postponed planned strikes on Iran’s energy infrastructure for five days, until the end of Friday (March 27), suggesting that a deal could be negotiated. However, the pause remains conditional, with strikes likely to resume if negotiations fail.
- MIDDLE EAST WAR: FOURTH WEEK. Tensions between the U.S. and Iran have remained high, with continued missile and drone attacks by Iran against U.S. bases and allied infrastructure across the Gulf.
- BREAKING: ABOUT 2,200 U.S. MARINES TO ARRIVE IN THE MIDDLE EAST BY FRIDAY (MARCH 27). The U.S. is also deploying the assault ship USS Tripoli (LHA-7) and landing dock USS New Orleans (LPD-18) to the Middle East, carrying around 2,200 Marines from the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit, and is set to arrive Friday (March 27).
Source: Reuters, CNBC, Bloomberg, OILPRICE.COM
GEOPOLITICS: MIDDLE EAST WAR
- STRAIT OF HORMUZ IS EFFECTIVELY CLOSED:
Around 20 million barrels of oil per day are unable to reach global markets.
Number of ships struck in the region since fighting began rose to at least 17.
Around 3200 ships are stranded near the Strait of Hormuz, including many oil tankers carrying more that 200 million barrels of crude.
- CURRENT IMPACT: This represents ~20% of global oil demand, creating a major supply shock.
- SUPPLY LOSS ACCUMULATING: Over the last 25 days, since the war began, nearly 500 million barrels of oil exports have been disrupted.
- PRODUCTION SHUTDOWNS: 8-10 MILLION BARRELS OF OIL PER DAY. Approximately 8 to 10 million barrels per day of oil production has been stopped by several Gulf producers due to the conflict, including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and the U.A.E.
Source: Reuters, CNBC, Bloomberg, OILPRICE.COM
PRICE ACTION: ANALYSTS’ OPINION
- BIG BANKS AND THEIR ESTIMATES IF THE CLOSURE OF THE HORMUTZ STRAIT PERSISTS:
JP MORGAN: $120
BARCLAYS: $100-$150
UBS: $100-150
GOLDMAN SACHS: $150. Oil is likely to exceed its 2008 all-time high, around $150, if depressed flows keep the market focused on the risk of lengthier disruptions.
MORGAN STANLEY: $110
CITIGROUP: $110-$120. In a bull scenario, prices could surge to $150-$200 if Iran targets more energy infrastructure or the Strait of Hormuz stays closed.
Source: Reuters, CNBC, Bloomberg, OILPRICE.COM
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
- SUPPORT AREA: $80 – $90. After rising to its highest level since June 2022 ($119.43), Brent oil prices have pulled back, likely finding new support between the levels of $80 and $90. Since the war began, Brent oil has surged about 63%, reaching prices not seen in almost four years and pushing the market above $100.
- BREAKING (MARCH 9): BRENT OIL PRICE HIT ITS HIGHEST RATE SINCE JUNE 2022 ($119.43). Brent oil price was last trading around $94, and if a full recovery to $119.43 follows, then crude oil prices may see an upside of around 27%. However, prices may decline as well.
Brent Oil, March 25, 2026
Current Price: 94
|
Brent Oil |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
120 |
|
|
110 |
|
|
105 |
|
|
85 |
|
|
83 |
|
|
80 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
Brent Oil |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
26,000 |
16,000 |
11,000 |
-9,000 |
-11,000 |
-14,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
22,428 |
13,802 |
9,489 |
-7,763 |
-9,489 |
-12,076 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
19,414 |
11,947 |
8,214 |
-6,720 |
-8,214 |
-10,454 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
35,861 |
22,068 |
15,172 |
-12,413 |
-15,172 |
-19,310 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used a 09:00 (GMT) 25/3/2026
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than the suggested one.
- Trailing stop techniques could protect the profit.
Brent Oil (BZ)
0%
Trade Info
- Leverage:1 : 10
- Margin:10%
- Premium Buy:-3.87
- Premium Sell:-0.23
Open Economic calendar
99.1
Day range
109.66
61%
Sell
Market sentiment
Buy
39%
